Global outlook: Economy and politics under new leadership.

Global Analysis: Politics, economy, and key trends in international markets.

The week was marked by the inauguration of Donald Trump as the 47th President of the United States. He signed executive orders on immigration, energy, and security and announced the possibility of implementing a 25% tariff on products from Canada and Mexico, set to take effect on February 1. 

On the economic front, there was a slight increase in unemployment insurance claims. Meanwhile, the Q4 2024 earnings season had a strong start, with S&P 500 companies reporting an initial 5% growth in sales and a 17% increase in profits.  

In other global markets: 

• Europe: The ECB is expected to announce a rate cut next week, while consumer sentiment shows improvement. 

• Japan: The Bank of Japan raised its benchmark rate to 0.5%, aligning with expectations. 

• China: The People’s Bank of China kept interest rates unchanged for the third consecutive month. 

• Mexico: Inflation fell to its lowest level since 2021, and the IMF revised its 2024 growth forecast upward. 

These developments highlight the importance of staying vigilant regarding key movements in global politics and economics. 


Important events in the coming weeks 

  • In the United States, the Fed’s monetary policy announcement will be on 01/29 
  • In the United States, Q4 2024 GDP will be released on 01/30 

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