Week of January 12–16 Key data on inflation, consumption, and growth shape the start of 2026 This week, markets reacted to mixed signals: stable U.S. inflation, positive surprises in retail sales, and uneven growth across Europe. Meanwhile, China strengthened its global trade presence, and Argentina closed the year with its lowest inflation in eight years. United States Headline inflation held at 2.7% and core inflation at 2.6%. PPI rebounded to 3% due to energy. Retail sales rose 0.6%, pointing to a segmented consumption pattern. Projected GDP was revised to 5.1%. The earnings season begins with positive results from banks. Europe Germany exits recession with 0.2% annual growth, though industrial activity remains weak. The United Kingdom surprised with 1.4% annual growth. Trade association BGA expects a modest recovery in Germany’s wholesale sector […]
Insights AWM
Mixed outlook between inflation and growth
U.S. core inflation cools further
U.S. core inflation came in softer than expected in December, reinforcing the view that underlying price pressures are gradually easing. […]
U.S. Intervention in Venezuela: Market Implications
U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, in Caracas through an operation that included air strikes on […]
Global Economic Outlook: Mixed Signals
Week December 15–19 In a relatively calm week, employment and consumption indicators provided key signals across major economies. Central bank decisions continue […]
Private debt under pressure in a more challenging environment
Private debt, though a core component of institutional portfolios for several years, is currently experiencing strong growth. However, a challenging […]
Fed splits opinions and key data ahead
Week December 8–12 Markets reacted to the Federal Reserve’s latest rate cut amid a set of mixed signals on inflation, production, […]
