Evolving Global Economic Landscape
Week of May 12–16
This week, global economic activity delivered mixed signals.
INTERNATIONAL OVERVIEW: MIXED SIGNALS FROM THE MARKETS
Recent economic data reveal meaningful shifts in inflation, interest rates, and global activity. Here are the most relevant highlights by country:
- United States: A temporary tariff reduction was agreed upon with China. Inflation rose 0.2% in April, with an annual rate of 2.3%, coming in below expectations. Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned that interest rates may need to remain higher for longer due to supply chain pressures.
- Europe: Germany reported annual inflation of 2.2% in April, as expected. The U.K. economy surprised with 0.7% GDP growth in Q1, driven by strong business investment.
- China: Inflation turned negative again (-0.1% year-over-year), while producer prices dropped 2.7%. Analysts highlight the need for stronger fiscal stimulus to boost domestic consumption.
- Brazil: Around 30 agreements were signed with China across strategic sectors such as infrastructure, mining, artificial intelligence, and environmental initiatives.
- Mexico: The Bank of Mexico cut its benchmark rate to 8.5% for the third straight time and signaled the possibility of further easing. Consumer confidence continued to weaken.
A long-term investor stays focused on strategies aligned with their risk tolerance to meet financial goals over time.
KEY UPCOMING EVENTS
- China: Retail sales and industrial production data – May 19
- United States: Fed officials scheduled to speak – May 19–20
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